Carlyle Valuation

CG Stock  USD 55.41  2.98  5.10%   
At this time, the firm appears to be undervalued. Carlyle Group shows a prevailing Real Value of $58.91 per share. The current price of the firm is $55.41. Our model approximates the value of Carlyle Group from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Current Valuation of 30.6 B, profit margin of 0.21 %, and Return On Equity of 0.13 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Carlyle's valuation include:
Price Book
3.7448
Enterprise Value
30.6 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
8.596
Price Sales
6.2469
Forward PE
11.9474
Undervalued
Today
55.41
Please note that Carlyle's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Carlyle Group is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Carlyle's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Carlyle stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Carlyle Group. Since Carlyle is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Carlyle Stock. However, Carlyle's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  55.41 Real  58.91 Target  70.0 Hype  55.4 Naive  53.58
The real value of Carlyle Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Carlyle Group Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Carlyle's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Carlyle's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
58.91
Real Value
61.02
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Carlyle Group helps investors to forecast how Carlyle stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Carlyle more accurately as focusing exclusively on Carlyle's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
1.091.171.23
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
53.2955.4057.51
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
1.011.051.09
Details
18 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
63.7070.0077.70
Details
When choosing an evaluation method for Carlyle Group, ensure it is appropriate for the firm given its current financial situation and market classification. If more than one evaluation category is relevant, we suggest using all methods to arrive at a better estimate.

Carlyle Cash

1.84 Billion

Carlyle Revenue by Product

Carlyle Total Value Analysis

Carlyle Group is currently forecasted to have takeover value of 30.6 B with market capitalization of 20.04 B, debt of 9.5 B, and cash on hands of 1.61 B. Please note that takeover value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting mistakes. We encourage investors to methodically examine all of the Carlyle fundamentals before making investment evaluation based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
30.6 B
20.04 B
9.5 B
1.61 B

Carlyle Investor Information

About 26.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Carlyle was currently reported as 15.6. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.82. Carlyle Group last dividend was issued on the 10th of November 2025. Based on the measurements of operating efficiency obtained from Carlyle's historical financial statements, Carlyle Group may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average probability of going through some form of financial hardship next quarter.

Carlyle Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Carlyle has an asset utilization ratio of 17.7 percent. This implies that the Company is making $0.18 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Carlyle Group is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Carlyle Profitability Analysis

Based on the measurements of profitability obtained from Carlyle's financial statements, Carlyle's profitability may be sliding down. It has an above-average probability of reporting lower numbers next quarter. Profitability indicators assess Carlyle's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
2010-09-30
Previous Quarter
319.7 M
Current Value
900 K
Quarterly Volatility
438.9 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
At this time, Carlyle's Net Profit Margin is most likely to increase slightly in the upcoming years.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.660.75
Fairly Down
Very volatile
For Carlyle profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Carlyle Group to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Carlyle utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Carlyle's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Carlyle over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Carlyle Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of Carlyle is estimated to be 1.17125 with future projections ranging from a low of 1.08625 to a high of 1.2275. Carlyle's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 1.78. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Carlyle Group is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Carlyle is projected to generate 1.17125 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2026. Carlyle earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Carlyle EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Carlyle's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Carlyle, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Carlyle Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Carlyle's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Carlyle is estimated to be 1.17125 with the future projection ranging from a low of 1.08625 to a high of 1.2275. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Carlyle Group is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.0
1.09
Lowest
Expected EPS
1.17125
1.23
Highest

Carlyle Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Carlyle's value are higher than the current market price of the Carlyle stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Carlyle is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Carlyle's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of December 2026Current EPS (TTM)
1684.58%
0.0
1.17125
1.78

Carlyle Ownership Allocation

Carlyle holds a total of 360.41 Million outstanding shares. Over half of Carlyle's outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These other corporate entities are typically referred to as corporate investors that acquire positions in a given instrument to benefit from reduced trade commissions. On February 9, 2025, Senator Dave McCormick of US Senate acquired $250k to $500k worth of Carlyle Group's common stock.

Carlyle Profitability Analysis

The company generated the yearly revenue of 4.09 B. Reported Net Income was 1.08 B with gross profit of 2.78 B.

Carlyle Past Distributions to stockholders

Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Carlyle's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Carlyle and how it compares across the competition.

About Carlyle Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Carlyle's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Carlyle. We calculate exposure to Carlyle's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Carlyle's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit3.9 B2.7 B
Pretax Profit Margin 0.31  0.32 
Operating Profit Margin 0.31  0.32 
Net Profit Margin 0.22  0.24 
Gross Profit Margin 0.75  0.66 
Carlyle's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Carlyle's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Carlyle can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Carlyle represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Carlyle, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Carlyle Dividends Analysis For Valuation

The Carlyle's current Dividends Paid is estimated to increase to about (430.1 M). The current Dividend Yield is estimated to decrease to 0.03. At this time, Carlyle's Earnings Yield is most likely to increase slightly in the upcoming years.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid-452.7 M-430.1 M
Dividend Yield 0.03  0.03 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.57  0.54 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio(1.50)(1.43)
There are various types of dividends Carlyle can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Carlyle shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Carlyle Group directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Carlyle pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Carlyle by the value of the dividends paid out.

Carlyle Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Carlyle does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding368 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.999
Forward Price Earnings11.9474

Carlyle Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Carlyle Group and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Carlyle we look at many different elements of the entity such as Carlyle's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Carlyle, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Carlyle's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Carlyle's worth.

Complementary Tools for Carlyle Stock analysis

When running Carlyle's price analysis, check to measure Carlyle's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Carlyle is operating at the current time. Most of Carlyle's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Carlyle's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Carlyle's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Carlyle to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Portfolio File Import
Quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format
Cryptocurrency Center
Build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency
Portfolio Manager
State of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital
Premium Stories
Follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope
Economic Indicators
Top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing
Competition Analyzer
Analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities
Portfolio Backtesting
Avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios
Correlation Analysis
Reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated
Bonds Directory
Find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies